Match Info

Libobasquet - Final Four

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Coliseo Universitario (Sucre)


	Universitario de Sucre		Nacional Potosí

	1	2
	2.04	1.66
	2.45	1.5
	1.49	2.37	Watch
	1.89	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.58)	1.81 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
47.9%

Nacional Potosí
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Sucre's performance.

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Sucre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:78

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Preview

Uni de Sucre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nacional Potosí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uni de Sucre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 308:334. (average 77:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Sucre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 231:258. (average 77:86).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre Basketball
Bolivian Libobasquet
04.08.25	Universitario de Sucre - Pichincha Potosi	92:72 ✺
03.08.25	Universitario de Sucre - Leones de Potosi	85:68 ✺
01.08.25	Leones de Potosi - Universitario de Sucre	59:63 ✺
31.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	76:80 ✺
30.07.25	Pichincha Potosi - Universitario de Sucre	45:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- Nacional Potosí Basketball
Bolivian Libobasquet
04.08.25	Nacional Potosí - Leones de Potosi	66:75 ✺
03.08.25	Pichincha Potosi - Nacional Potosí	70:89 ✺
01.08.25	Pichincha Potosi - Nacional Potosí	66:61 ✺
31.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	76:80 ✺
30.07.25	Nacional Potosí - Leones de Potosi	76:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Libobasquet
31.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	76:80
26.06.25	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	70:82
14.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Sucre	76:77
10.05.24	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	85:96 OT

Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide