Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Union Atletica (Montevideo)


	Unión Atlética		Malvín

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.48
	2.49	1.48
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.09)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Atlética
38.5%

Malvín
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Atlética has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Atlética's form might have worsened.

Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Malvín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Atlética than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Atlética, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malvín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Atlética - Malvín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Alaekwe C.	2. Abell R.
5. Ducasse J. (C)	24. Cruz J.
9. Giano M.	15. Fernandez S.
1. Prince T.	33. Wachsmann K. (C)
0. Wilson Q.	27. Zekovic D.
Substitutes
6. Abdala T.	18. Brun F.
10. Astramskas M.	8. Espinosa E.
23. Brun G.	30. Martinez N.
54. Echeverria L.	34. Medina O.
15. Garcia S.	11. Perez A.
31. Lopez A.	14. Rodriguez N.
19. Souza G.	13. Romero M.
Coaches
. Fernandez G.	. Lopez P.

Preview

Unión Atlética is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Malvín is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Malvín might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Atlética won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 118:174. (average 59:87).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Atlética won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:103.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Unión Atlética
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
20.11.25	Nacional - Unión Atlética	88:72 ✺
15.11.25	Unión Atlética - Urunday Universitario	77:101 ✺
10.11.25	Biguá - Unión Atlética	84:78 ✺
07.11.25	Unión Atlética - Defensor Sporting	74:75 ✺
03.11.25	Goes - Unión Atlética	78:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Club Malvín
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
18.11.25	Malvín - Hebraica y Macabi	52:61 ✺
14.11.25	Malvín - Nacional	82:75 ✺
11.11.25	Urunday Universitario - Malvín	70:76 ✺
07.11.25	Malvín - Biguá	90:89 ✺
04.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
07.10.16	Unión Atlética - Malvín	58:103
30.09.16	Malvín - Unión Atlética	71:60

Unión Atlética - Malvín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide