Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Urunday Universitario (Montevideo)


	Urunday Universitario		Aguada

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.36
	2.9	1.35
	2.78	1.38	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.49)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urunday Universitario
32.8%

Aguada
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urunday Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urunday Universitario than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Urunday Universitario - Aguada Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Urunday (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Daniels T.	5. Clark E.
21. Demers E.	6. Pereiras F.
1. Holt E.	13. Santiso J. (C)
11. Rodriguez M.	23. Santos L.
6. Sarni M. (C)	8. Sims D.
Substitutes
99. Benitez M.	33. Acuna V.
2. Bessio N.	21. Barragan T.
8. Curadossi B.	1. Fernandez M.
92. Jounes M.	14. Gentile A.
7. Massa S.	10. Rodriguez J.
9. Moleda F.	9. Traversa B.
14. Sacco J.	24. Zuvich A.
Coaches
. Gonzalez M.	. Cortizas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urunday won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aguada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aguada is considered a favorite.

We predict that Urunday will win today's game, with odds of 3.08.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urunday won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1545:1653. (average 77.3:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Urunday won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 726:719. (average 80.7:79.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urunday Universitario
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.12.25	Welcome - Urunday Universitario	63:102 ✺
04.12.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	85:58 ✺
20.11.25	Urunday Universitario - Cordón	123:77 ✺
15.11.25	Unión Atlética - Urunday Universitario	77:101 ✺
11.11.25	Urunday Universitario - Malvín	70:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL
- Atletico Aguada
Champions League Americas Basketball
12.12.25	Aguada - Minas	74:77 ✺
10.12.25	Aguada - Boca Juniors	71:88 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
19.11.25	Goes - Aguada	76:93 ✺
13.11.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Aguada	79:78 ✺
10.11.25	Aguada - Welcome	112:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
13.10.25	Aguada - Urunday Universitario	118:105
31.01.25	Aguada - Urunday Universitario	98:86
31.10.24	Urunday Universitario - Aguada	81:71
24.01.23	Urunday Universitario - Aguada	55:75
21.11.22	Aguada - Urunday Universitario	74:67
15.02.22	Aguada - Urunday Universitario	88:61
19.12.21	Urunday Universitario - Aguada	83:89

Urunday Universitario - Aguada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide