Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)


	VEF Riga		Keila Basket

	1	2
	1.01	15
	1.01	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	15 ↓ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
93.7%

Keila Basket
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94.4%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Keila Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

VEF Riga - Keila Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Aleksandrovs R.	3. Brittain-Watts E.
32. Niedra J.	21. Lenk C.
0. Porter Z.	8. Pahv M. (C)
55. Sydorov I.	16. Tamkivi R.
12. Toro A.	23. Thompson I.
Substitutes
1. Bumeisters R. (C)	30. Koitmaa K.
22. Butirins R.	32. Kulishenko N.
35. Kilps K.	13. Kuttis R.
4. Latisevs T.	33. Saal P.
11. Vanags R.	15. Spaleta M.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Pahv P.

Preview

Recent performances by VEF have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Keila Basket is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Keila Basket may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, VEF is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, VEF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 183:135. (average 91.5:67.5).

Including home match between the teams, VEF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 94:55.

Last Results with these Odds

VEF Riga - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 94.39%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.12.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	80:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Astrum Levice - VEF Riga	85:69 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.12.25	VEF Riga - Pärnu	90:80 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	VEF Riga - Szolnoki Olaj	76:62 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
06.12.25	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	85:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW
- Keila Basket
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.12.25	Keila Basket - Pärnu	64:81 ✺
19.12.25	Keila Basket - Viimsi	62:75 ✺
ENBL
16.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Keila Basket	98:73 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.12.25	TalTech - Keila Basket	86:63 ✺
05.12.25	Keila Basket - BK Ventspils	80:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
28.02.25	Keila Basket - VEF Riga	80:89
07.12.24	VEF Riga - Keila Basket	94:55

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