Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)


	VEF Riga		Tartu Rock

	1	2
	1.33	3.1
	1.29	3.24
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	3.24 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
71.3%

Tartu Rock
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VEF Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Rock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VEF Riga - Tartu Rock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bertans Dai. (C)	8. Bernard M.
1. Bumeisters R.	9. Lips K.
0. Hollis C.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
16. Huffman B.	3. Painter D.
3. Stokes K.	2. Valge R.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrovs R.	16. Andre R.
5. Andzevs A.	35. Ilver M.
22. Butirins R.	11. Jurtsenko K. G.
35. Kilps K.	5. Laane R.
32. Niedra J.	0. McBride B.
20. Rocak T.	20. Nurger R.
55. Sydorov I.	4. Saar H.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VEF won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

VEF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, VEF has had a series of away games.

VEF could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, VEF won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1301:1055. (average 86.7:70.3).

Including home matches between the teams, VEF won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 634:469. (average 90.6:67).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	VEF Riga	4	4	0	368:254	1.000
8	Tartu Ulikool	4	2	2	336:332	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
08.03.26	Viimsi - VEF Riga	62:107 ✺
17.02.26	Valmiera Glass Via - VEF Riga	110:77 ✺
13.02.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	78:87 ✺
11.02.26	Pärnu - VEF Riga	62:72 ✺
07.02.26	TalTech - VEF Riga	75:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.03.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Tartu Rock	99:79 ✺
04.03.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	70:91 ✺
14.02.26	Tartu Rock - Rīgas Zeļļi	83:80 ✺
07.02.26	Tartu Rock - Liepāja	87:77 ✺
01.02.26	Latvijas Universitāte - Tartu Rock	83:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
18.10.25	Tartu Rock - VEF Riga	95:78
25.01.25	Tartu Rock - VEF Riga	67:93
12.10.24	VEF Riga - Tartu Rock	74:71
06.01.24	VEF Riga - Tartu Rock	88:73
14.10.23	Tartu Rock - VEF Riga	74:72
23.12.22	Tartu Rock - VEF Riga	70:77
18.10.22	VEF Riga - Tartu Rock	89:77

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