Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kition Athletic Center (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mohoric N. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	16:00	FIBA TV


	AEK Larnaca		Tartu Rock

	1	2
	1.19	4.00
	1.30	3.20
	1.28	3.56
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.27	3.50
	1.36	3.03
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	3.37 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
72.3%

Tartu Rock
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Larnaca's performance.

Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tartu Rock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Rock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AEK Larnaca - Tartu Rock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:79

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Durham A.	4. Maidoh C.
5. Giannaras I.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
24. McKinnis J.	11. Palek K.
2. Mucius I.	7. Smith M.
12. Tate M.	2. Valge R.
Substitutes
0. Diggs J.	16. Andre R.
34. Hunt J. (C)	22. El Sheikh O.
21. Koukouris K.	3. Hint A.
22. Markou P.	1. Rosenthal M.
20. Moyseos C.	34. Sinnik V.
19. Savva C.
6. Varsos G.
Coaches
. Livadiotis C.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

AEK Larnaca is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Tartu Rock have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

AEK Larnaca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

AEK Larnaca is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for AEK Larnaca in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca BC
Cypriot Division A Basketball
18.10.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	83:79 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	Dziki Warszawa - AEK Larnaca	94:80 ✺
Cypriot Division A Basketball
11.10.26	Apollon Limassol BC - AEK Larnaca	56:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	AEK Larnaca - s.Oliver Wurzburg	73:65 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
25.09.26	AEK Larnaca - Keravnos Nicosia	72:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW
- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
17.10.26	Keila - Tartu Rock	71:89 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	KK MZT Skopje - Tartu Rock	92:95 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
09.10.26	Tartu Rock - Rīgas Zeļļi	74:94 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.10.26	Tartu Rock - Dziki Warszawa	76:103 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
02.10.26	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	92:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
31.10.26	VEF Riga - Tartu Rock	✺

AEK Larnaca - Tartu Rock