Match Info

Date: 4 February 2021, Thursday


	Valencia		CSKA Moscow

	1	2
	1.86	1.95	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.83	1.94
	1.84	2.03
	1.84	2	Watch
	1.88	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.36)	1.97 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
51.5%

CSKA Moscow
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	0%	21.2%

Valencia - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 137 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 108 - 78.8%). CSKA will win (votes: 29 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 72% – 85.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 378-448.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 166-189.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
31.01.21	Unicaja Malaga - Valencia	85:89 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.21	Panathinaikos - Valencia	91:72 ✺
27.01.21	Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas	78:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
24.01.21	Valencia - Baskonia	83:61 ✺
Euroleague
21.01.21	ASVEL Basket - Valencia	90:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL
- CSKA Moscow Basketball
VTB United League
01.02.21	Zielona Góra - CSKA Moscow	93:90 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.21	CSKA Moscow - Bayern München	66:69 ✺
27.01.21	ALBA Berlin - CSKA Moscow	68:71 ✺
22.01.21	CSKA Moscow - Fenerbahçe	83:89 ✺
VTB United League
18.01.21	Avtodor Saratov - CSKA Moscow	82:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
29.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Valencia	84:75
23.01.20	CSKA Moscow - Valencia	81:70
04.10.19	Valencia - CSKA Moscow	71:96
08.02.18	Valencia - CSKA Moscow	95:93
09.11.17	CSKA Moscow - Valencia	94:67

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