Match Info
Segunda FEB - Round 17Date: 7 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pabellón Polideportivo Pisuerga (Valladolid)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | LaLiga+ |
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 |
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 |
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Valladolid |
|
Morón |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.38 |
|
2.6 |
|
 |
1.35 |
|
2.73 |
|
 |
1.44 |
|
2.63 |
|
 |
1.43 |
|
2.62 |
|
 |
1.4 |
|
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.41) |
|
2.67 ↑
(2.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Valladolid
65.6% | Morón
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morón than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Valladolid - Morón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4.Valladolid is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Morón's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Morón has had a series of home games. Valladolid will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Valladolid will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 720:708. (average 80:78.7).Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 312:304. (average 78:76).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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