Match Info

SPAIN: Copa España - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 December 2024, Monday

Location: Pabellón Polideportivo Pisuerga (Valladolid)


	Valladolid		Obradoiro CAB

	1	2
	3.7	1.22
	4.05	1.2
	3.82	1.16
	4.65	1.18
	4	1.22
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.91)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
22.7%

Obradoiro CAB
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Obradoiro CAB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Obradoiro CAB's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Obradoiro CAB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valladolid - Obradoiro CAB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:81

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Preview

1st leg.

Valladolid is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Obradoiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Obradoiro is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 367:415 (average 73.4:83).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 228:242 (average 76:80.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Ciudad de Valladolid
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
21.12.24	Valladolid - Estudiantes	73:87 ✺
15.12.24	Real Betis - Valladolid	89:59 ✺
11.12.24	Valladolid - San Pablo Burgos	70:104 ✺
07.12.24	Cartagena - Valladolid	76:80 ✺
30.11.24	Valladolid - Gipuzkoa Basket	66:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.12.24	Castelló - Obradoiro CAB	73:68 ✺
14.12.24	Obradoiro CAB - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:79 ✺
10.12.24	Obradoiro CAB - Real Betis	71:67 ✺
05.12.24	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	91:83 ✺
01.12.24	Obradoiro CAB - Estela	93:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
25.10.24	Valladolid - Obradoiro CAB	72:76
Spanish ACB League
20.04.14	Obradoiro CAB - Valladolid	84:83
27.12.13	Valladolid - Obradoiro CAB	77:73
11.05.13	Valladolid - Obradoiro CAB	79:93
06.01.13	Obradoiro CAB - Valladolid	89:56

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