Match Info
NCAADate: 21 December 2025, Sunday ๐ Finished
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Valparaiso Beacons |
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Murray State Racers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.05 |
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1.4 |
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3 |
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1.35 |
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2.67 |
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1.43 |
Watch |
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3 |
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1.36 |
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2.99 |
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1.37 |
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3 |
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1.4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.61) |
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1.39 ↓ (1.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 153.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Valparaiso Beacons 31.9% | Murray State Racers 68.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Valparaiso Beacons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Murray State Racers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valparaiso Beacons than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valparaiso (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:80 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valparaiso won 0.Recent form of Valparaiso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Murray State is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Valparaiso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Murray State has had a series of home games. Murray State is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. We predict that Murray State will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valparaiso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 603:640. (average 67:71.1).Including home matches between the teams, Valparaiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 296:283. (average 74:70.8).
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 08.02.25 | Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers | 56:74 | | 11.01.25 | Murray State Racers - Valparaiso Beacons | 58:47 | | 24.02.24 | Murray State Racers - Valparaiso Beacons | 80:68 | | 02.03.23 | Murray State Racers - Valparaiso Beacons | 78:50 | | 26.02.23 | Murray State Racers - Valparaiso Beacons | 77:76 OT | | 04.12.22 | Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers | 70:77 OT (62:62) | | 29.11.14 | Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers | 93:58 |
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