Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Origo-hollin Hlidarenda (Reykjavík)


	Valur		Álftaness

	1	2
	1.84	1.84
	1.87	1.86
	1.64	2.02	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.64)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
50.9%

Álftaness
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Álftaness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Álftaness than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Álftaness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valur - Álftaness Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 171, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Acox K. (C)	10. Jonsson D.
7. Booker F.	7. Murkey A.
10. Jonsson K.	19. Okeke D.
21. Lawson C.	13. Palsson H. (C)
5. Nikolic L.	22. Petursson S.
Substitutes
43. Collington O. T.	12. Arnarson H.
22. Griffin L.	23. Bjornsson A. O.
24. Halldorsson A.	18. Gudnason D.
18. Sigurdarson K.	1. Hopkins S.
3. Stefansson H.	8. Johannsson I.
	9. Leifsson A. S.
	17. Nathanaelsson R.
Coaches
. Stefansson F.	. Kjartansson K. A.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 346:325. (average 86.5:81.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 176:152. (average 88:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.11.25	Akraness - Valur	81:83 ✺
30.10.25	Valur - Grindavík	55:90 ✺
23.10.25	Thor Thorl - Valur	117:119 OT ✺
16.10.25	Valur - Armann	94:83 ✺
11.10.25	Stjarnan - Valur	94:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- UMF Álftaness Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.11.25	Álftaness - KR Basket Reykjavík	108:89 ✺
30.10.25	Álftaness - Njarðvík	93:92 ✺
24.10.25	Akraness - Álftaness	76:74 ✺
16.10.25	Álftaness - Grindavík	70:79 ✺
09.10.25	Thor Thorl - Álftaness	70:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
16.01.25	Valur - Álftaness	87:81
17.10.24	Álftaness - Valur	100:103 OT
07.03.24	Valur - Álftaness	89:71
23.11.23	Álftaness - Valur	73:67

Valur - Álftaness: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide