Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Vasco Da Gama Porto

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	3.69	1.18
	2.93	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.2)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
30.1%

Vasco Da Gama Porto
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maia's form might have worsened.

Vasco Da Gama Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco Da Gama Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco Da Gama Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maia - Vasco Da Gama Porto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Boyd R.	13. Akoi Y.
3. Bumbalough L.	9. Ambrosio F.
4. Gomes D.	20. Ferreira F.
5. Guerreiro J. (C)	22. Nobre R.
44. Machado P.	32. Nwagbaraocha V.
Substitutes
0. Baptista L.	10. Cardoso J.
12. Carrera Y.	11. Coutinho I. (C)
2. Magalhaes M.	34. Domingues K.
13. Nunes D.	46. Gomes A.
30. Oliveira S.	45. Santos D.
8. Santos T.	15. Sequeira G.
9. Silva T.	1. Terroso P.
Coaches
. Gomes R.	. Freitas N.

Preview

Recent matches Maia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vasco Da Gama in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vasco Da Gama will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vasco Da Gama to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 390:431 (average 78:86.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 172:166 (average 86:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.12.24	Casino Ginásio - Maia	101:66 ✺
07.12.24	Maia - Braga	76:95 ✺
30.11.24	Illiabum - Maia	87:56 ✺
16.11.24	Maia - Sampaense	83:75 ✺
09.11.24	Clube Galitos - Maia	77:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.12.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Sampaense	83:76 ✺
07.12.24	Clube Galitos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	80:96 ✺
30.11.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	85:84 ✺
16.11.24	Illiabum - Vasco Da Gama Porto	67:79 ✺
09.11.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Casino Ginásio	109:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
26.10.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Maia	82:77
13.01.24	Maia - Vasco Da Gama Porto	78:74
05.11.23	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Maia	85:67
14.01.23	Maia - Vasco Da Gama Porto	94:92 OT
05.11.22	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Maia	98:74

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