Match Info

NBB

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ginasio Felipe Karam (Rio Claro)


	Rio Claro		Vasco da Gama

	1	2
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	2.65
	1.4	2.6
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
65.3%

Vasco da Gama
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Claro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Claro - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Bonfim M.	10. Basilio G.
2. dos Anjos J.	24. Conceicao S.
6. Narcizio V.	2. Morgan L.
35. Sacco G.	11. Nunes P.
8. Thygesen F.	4. Vernizz A.
Substitutes
1. Akin	27. Elias Oliveira
7. Costa A.	7. Fortunato J.
11. Enzo	23. Honorato I.
17. Johansson R.	19. Magna G.
13. Murilo	30. Martins I.
9. Pastor	12. Mathias T.
3. Rocha C.
Coaches
. Silva R.	. dos Santos C.

Preview

Rio Claro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rio Claro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Claro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:81.

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
04.03.26	Rio Claro - Botafogo	82:83 ✺
21.02.26	Cruzeiro - Rio Claro	95:79 ✺
19.02.26	Minas - Rio Claro	98:95 OT ✺
16.02.26	Rio Claro - Flamengo	93:87 OT ✺
05.02.26	Rio Claro - União Corinthians	82:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLLWW
- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
22.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Franca	80:85 ✺
16.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Bauru	70:90 ✺
11.02.26	Vasco da Gama - São José dos Campos	72:74 ✺
07.02.26	Brasília Basquete - Vasco da Gama	84:61 ✺
02.02.26	Pato - Vasco da Gama	75:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
25.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Rio Claro	81:84

Rio Claro - Vasco da Gama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide