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Current Win Probability
Venados de Mazatlán 69.3%
Rayos de Hermosillo 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.6%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados de Mazatlán's performance.
Rayos de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayos de Hermosillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venados de Mazatlán that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayos de Hermosillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:81
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Casillas J. (C)
10. Banegas J.
2. Jackson B.
14. Bieshaar T.
44. Quinn D.
3. Ferguson R. (C)
7. Robinson T.
5. Gaddy K.
4. Trapp C.
32. Toney T.
Substitutes
3. Acosta F.
58. Dominguez R.
15. Gonzalez J.
9. Gooden C.
8. Hernandez A.
16. Mendoza E.
0. Johnson T.
17. Peralta A.
11. Jones L.
7. Valenzuela J.
5. Morgan K.
35. Winston J.
55. Thompson T.
Coaches
. Weissling E.
. Villafane E.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados de Mazatlán won 4.
Venados de Mazatlán is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rayos de Hermosillo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Venados de Mazatlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rayos de Hermosillo has had a series of home games.
Venados de Mazatlán will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Venados de Mazatlán will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venados de Mazatlán won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1457:1531. (average 85.7:90.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Venados de Mazatlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 785:811. (average 87.2:90.1).
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Casillas J. (C) 
Banegas J. 
Jackson B. 
Bieshaar T. 
Robinson T. 
Thompson T. 
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