Match Info

Lega A - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Noce S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	17:00	EuroLeague TV


	Venezia		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.90	1.85
	1.8	1.92
	1.83	1.99
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.79	1.95
	1.85	1.99	Watch
	1.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
51.7%

Virtus Bologna
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Venezia - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Parks J.	24. Ferrari F.
33. Wiltjer K.	21. Alston Jr. D.
00. Tessitori A.	35. Diouf M.
7. Candi L.	9. Edwards K.
30. Watson G.	2. Carr M.
Substitutes
0. Bowman K.	11. Baldasso T.
5. De Nicolao G.	7. Casarin D.
40. Fasolo F.	31. Diarra A.
44. Grant S.	1. Frazier T.
32. Green E.	23. Hackett D.
1. Maretto O.	34. Klintman B.
19. Olinde L.	15. Milazzo.M
Coaches
. Spahija N.	. Mumbru A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4.

Venezia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Virtus Bologna shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Virtus Bologna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Venezia has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1616:1693 (averaging 80.8:84.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venezia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 790:826 goals (averaging 79:82.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	487:421	10
6	Venezia	5	3	2	451:443	6

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Virtus Bologna: 21.49% Venezia: 6.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umana Venezia
Eurocup
07.10.26	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Venezia	98:92 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.10.26	Trieste - Venezia	82:87 ✺
Eurocup
29.09.26	Venezia - Skyliners Frankfurt	104:72 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.09.26	Venezia - Cantù	85:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
20.09.26	Venezia - Olimpia Milano	87:94 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
08.10.26	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	87:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Maxima Roma	98:89 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	96:94 ✺
29.09.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	87:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.09.26	Varese - Virtus Bologna	69:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
06.06.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	90:83
04.06.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	89:85
01.06.26	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	98:79
30.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	83:91
05.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	82:86
11.01.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	75:81
27.05.25	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	86:84

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