Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 15

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona)


	Verona		Basket Brescia

	1	2
	2.5	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.33	1.6
	2.33	1.56
	2.49	1.57
	2.45	1.58
	2.46	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.99)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
39.9%

Basket Brescia
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verona's form might have worsened.

Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Brescia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Brescia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Verona - Basket Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brescia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Verona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brescia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.01.23	Venezia - Verona	80:57 ✺
02.01.23	Verona - Trieste	88:81 ✺
26.12.22	Napoli Basket - Verona	74:80 ✺
18.12.22	Verona - Basket Pesaro	90:94 ✺
11.12.22	Treviso Basket - Verona	77:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLW
- Basket Brescia
Eurocup
10.01.23	Basket Brescia - Joventut Badalona	85:75 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.01.23	Basket Brescia - Basket Trento	73:78 ✺
02.01.23	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Brescia	92:94 OT (84:84) ✺
26.12.22	Basket Brescia - Reggiana	84:77 ✺
Eurocup
20.12.22	Basket Brescia - Bursaspor	110:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian LNP Gold Basketball
19.11.14	Basket Brescia - Verona	76:78

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