Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - ROUND 17

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Allianz Dome (Trieste)


	Trieste		Verona

	1	2
	1.3	3.25
	1.33	3
	1.29	3.15
	1.3	3.69
	1.29	3.69
	1.3	3.4
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.29	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
72.3%

Verona
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trieste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trieste - Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trieste won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Trieste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Trieste will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Trieste won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 611-631.

Including matches at home between the teams Trieste won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 312-306.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
23.12.23	Fortitudo Bologna - Trieste	89:75 ✺
17.12.23	Trieste - Baltur Cento	80:66 ✺
10.12.23	Pallacanestro Nardò - Trieste	75:83 ✺
03.12.23	Orzi Basket - Trieste	69:87 ✺
26.11.23	Trieste - Forlì	79:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Basket Verona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.12.23	Verona - Orzi Basket	86:80 ✺
16.12.23	Verona - Rimini	84:78 ✺
10.12.23	Udine - Verona	76:63 ✺
06.12.23	Baltur Cento - Verona	78:85 ✺
01.12.23	Verona - Cividale	80:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
29.10.23	Verona - Trieste	81:69
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.04.23	Trieste - Verona	85:77
02.01.23	Verona - Trieste	88:81
Italian Serie A2 East Basketball
31.03.18	Trieste - Verona	80:70
17.12.17	Verona - Trieste	81:79
29.01.17	Trieste - Verona	68:66
23.10.16	Verona - Trieste	75:70

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