Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Virginia Cavaliers		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	2.9	1.43
	2.85	1.44
	2.78	1.41
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.88	1.45
	2.78	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.35)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: ACC Network (Local)

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Current Win Probability

Virginia Cavaliers
33.5%

Louisville Cardinals
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virginia Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virginia Cavaliers's form might have worsened.

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville Cardinals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virginia Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 63:69

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virginia won 5.

Recent matches Virginia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Louisville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Louisville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Virginia have a series of home games.

Louisville will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Virginia won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1329:1146 (average 66.5:57.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Virginia won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 685:560 (average 68.5:56).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virginia Cavaliers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.12.24	Virginia Cavaliers - North Carolina State Wolfpack	70:67 ✺
22.12.24	Virginia Cavaliers - American University Eagles	63:58 ✺
18.12.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Memphis Tigers	62:64 ✺
12.12.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	59:41 ✺
07.12.24	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Cavaliers	63:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.25	Louisville Cardinals - North Carolina Tar Heels	83:70 ✺
28.12.24	Louisville Cardinals - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	78:76 ✺
21.12.24	Florida State Seminoles - Louisville Cardinals	76:90 ✺
14.12.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	93:85 ✺
11.12.24	Louisville Cardinals - UTEP Miners	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
27.01.24	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	52:69
03.01.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	77:53
04.03.23	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	75:60
15.02.23	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	58:61
09.03.22	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	51:50
05.03.22	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	61:71
24.01.22	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	64:52

Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide