Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Virginia Military Keydets		Samford Bulldogs

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	3	1.35
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.95	1.36
	3.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.76)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virginia Military Keydets
30.8%

Samford Bulldogs
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virginia Military Keydets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Samford Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Military Keydets than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samford Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Virginia Military Keydets - Samford Bulldogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Virginia Military (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virginia Military won 0.

Virginia Military is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Samford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Samford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Virginia Military won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1547:1745. (average 77.4:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Virginia Military won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 692:749. (average 76.9:83.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virginia Military Keydets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Radford Highlanders - Virginia Military Keydets	97:90 ✺
09.12.25	Virginia Military Keydets - Loyola MD Greyhounds	86:70 ✺
29.11.25	UCF Knights - Virginia Military Keydets	82:57 ✺
26.11.25	Bowling Green Falcons - Virginia Military Keydets	81:48 ✺
24.11.25	Buffalo Bulls - Virginia Military Keydets	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Samford Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.12.25	Samford Bulldogs - Cornell Big Red	93:90 ✺
05.12.25	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Samford Bulldogs	83:57 ✺
26.11.25	Utah Valley Wolverines - Samford Bulldogs	89:45 ✺
25.11.25	Georgia State Panthers - Samford Bulldogs	63:78 ✺
21.11.25	New Mexico State Aggies - Samford Bulldogs	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
27.02.25	Virginia Military Keydets - Samford Bulldogs	83:95
09.01.25	Samford Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	81:68
10.02.24	Virginia Military Keydets - Samford Bulldogs	63:102
13.01.24	Samford Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	134:96
18.02.23	Virginia Military Keydets - Samford Bulldogs	61:96
04.01.23	Samford Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	87:78
17.02.22	Samford Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	100:99 OT (88:88)

Virginia Military Keydets - Samford Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide