Match Info

Euroleague - Round 8

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaDozza (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tiganis I. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 5P
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 3
Europe	—	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Germany	20:30	Magenta Sport
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Poland	20:30	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	20:30	SportKlub 6
International	19:30	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	1.72	1.96	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.79	2.02
	1.85	2.00
	1.84	2.05	Watch
	1.83	1.98
	1.82	2.05	Watch
	1.80	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.49)	2 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
52.4%

Žalgiris Kaunas
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Bologna's performance.

Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žalgiris Kaunas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žalgiris Kaunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Edwards K.	51. Butkevicius A.
21. Alston Jr. D.	10. Tubelis A.
3. Kokila K.	17. Valanciunas J.
8. Moore W.	3. Edwards C.
2. Carr M.	7. Lee S.
Substitutes
0. Bello R.	2. Akobundu-Ehiogu K.
31. Diarra A.	0. Brown S.
35. Diouf M.	34. Evans K.
24. Ferrari F.	40. Grigonis M.
1. Frazier T.	12. Lo M.
23. Hackett D.	14. Sleva D.
34. Klintman B.	92. Ulanovas E.
Coaches
. Mumbru A.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1.

Virtus Bologna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Žalgiris have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Virtus Bologna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Žalgiris has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Bologna has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 586:646 (averaging 73.3:80.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus Bologna against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 307:319 goals (averaging 76.8:79.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	8	4	4	686:676
12	Virtus Bologna	8	4	4	680:699

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.23% Virtus Bologna: 1.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.10.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	94:98 AET ✺
Euroleague
21.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Virtus Bologna	90:81 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Scafati	108:83 ✺
Euroleague
16.10.26	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	86:78 ✺
14.10.26	Paris - Virtus Bologna	94:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
25.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	86:63 ✺
Euroleague
23.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	105:85 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Tauragė	96:76 ✺
Euroleague
16.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	70:85 ✺
13.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	99:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
06.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	83:79
28.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	86:65
15.01.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	77:68
15.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	68:71
19.03.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	96:81
05.10.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	79:82
10.01.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:87

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