Match Info

Euroleague - Round 14

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Mavisu C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Dubai

	1	2
	1.53	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.67
	1.59	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.58	2.48	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)	2.57 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
62.7%

Dubai
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Bologna's performance.

Dubai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dubai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dubai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Virtus Bologna - Dubai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Dubai (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 163.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Virtus Bologna will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Akele N.	5. Abass A.
21. Alston Jr. D.	17. Kabengele M.
35. Diouf M.	11. Kondic K.
3. Edwards C.	30. Petrusev F.
1. Vildoza L.	25. Wright M.
Substitutes
31. Diarra A.	10. Anderson J.
23. Hackett D.	22. Armstrong T.
34. Jallow K.	4. Avramovic A.
30. Morgan M.	8. Bertans Dav.
7. Niang S.	2. Dangubic N.
6. Pajola A.	34. Kamenjas K.
9. Smailagic A.	32. Ryan M.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Golemac J.

Preview

In recent matches, Virtus Bologna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dubai is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dubai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of away games.

Virtus Bologna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
25.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	66:64 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.11.25	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	77:89 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Virtus Bologna - Maccabi Tel Aviv	99:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.11.25	Treviso Basket - Virtus Bologna	79:101 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	88:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL
- BC Dubai
Euroleague
25.11.25	Dubai - Paris	90:89 ✺
20.11.25	Panathinaikos - Dubai	103:82 ✺
Adriatic League
17.11.25	FMP Beograd - Dubai	91:107 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Dubai - Žalgiris Kaunas	95:89 ✺
11.11.25	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	102:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

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