Match Info

Euroleague - Round 33

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Tsaroucha V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Paris

	1	2
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.63	2.36
	1.68	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
57.8%

Paris
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Virtus Bologna - Paris Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 168.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Virtus Bologna will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Bologna will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alston Jr. D.	15. Faye M.
35. Diouf M.	24. Ouattara Y.
3. Edwards C.	8. Rhoden J.
7. Niang S.	5. Robinson J.
1. Vildoza L.	35. Willis D.
Substitutes
45. Akele N.	11. Ayayi J.
31. Diarra A.	4. Cavaliere L.
24. Ferrari F.	7. Herrera S.
23. Hackett D.	2. Hifi N.
34. Jallow K.	34. Hommes D.
30. Morgan M.	20. Morgan J.
9. Smailagic A.	18. Shahrvin E.
Coaches
. Jakovljevic N.	. Thomas J.

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Virtus Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 234:254. (average 78:84.7).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 77:83.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Virtus Bologna: 0.87% Paris: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
9	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346
17	Paris	4	1	3	329:359

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
26.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	103:87 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.26	Reggiana - Virtus Bologna	84:70 ✺
Euroleague
19.03.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Virtus Bologna	109:91 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.03.26	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	104:94 ✺
Euroleague
11.03.26	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	82:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Paris Basketball
French LNB
27.03.26	Dijon - Paris	76:92 ✺
22.03.26	Paris - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	85:95 ✺
Euroleague
19.03.26	Paris - Partizan Belgrade	81:90 ✺
17.03.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Paris	93:82 ✺
French LNB
15.03.26	Paris - Gravelines	109:115 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
09.10.25	Paris - Virtus Bologna	90:79
07.02.25	Virtus Bologna - Paris	77:83
28.11.24	Paris - Virtus Bologna	81:78

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