Match Info

Lega A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Italy	LBA TV


	Virtus Bologna		Olimpia Milano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.76	2.09
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	2.1 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
54.9%

Olimpia Milano
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Olimpia Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Niang S.	31. Shields S.
21. Alston Jr. D.	16. LeDay Z.
35. Diouf M.	32. Nebo J.
34. Jallow K.	10. Bolmaro L.
3. Edwards C.	3. Ellis Q.
Substitutes
8. Accorsi M.	12. Brooks A.
45. Akele N.	25. Diop O.
2. Baiocchi M.	23. Guduric M.
31. Diarra A.	5. Guglielmo Y.
24. Ferrari F.	1. Mannion N.
30. Morgan M.	17. Ricci G.
9. Smailagic A.	7. Tonut S.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Poeta G.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 3.

Recent performances by Virtus Bologna have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia Milano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Virtus Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Olimpia Milano has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1582:1615. (average 79.1:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 801:796. (average 80.1:79.6).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Virtus Bologna: 19.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	2	2	0	188:158	4
11	Olimpia Milano	2	1	1	155:154	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
11.03.26	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	82:88 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.03.26	Napoli Basket - Virtus Bologna	71:90 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	92:84 ✺
25.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Barcelona	85:80 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	84:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Olimpia Milano
Euroleague
13.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	96:87 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Cantù	88:86 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Barcelona	87:84 ✺
26.02.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Olimpia Milano	92:86 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
02.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	97:85
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	74:63
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
27.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	86:93 OT
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.06.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	78:84
05.06.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	68:78
02.06.25	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	66:85
31.05.25	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	68:67

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