Match Info

Euroleague - Round 20

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Gracin F. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.89	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.82	2.06	Watch
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)	2 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
52.5%

Žalgiris Kaunas
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Žalgiris (4.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 163, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Žalgiris (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Niang S.	8. Brazdeikis I.
45. Akele N.	10. Tubelis A.
21. Alston Jr. D.	7. Wright M.
1. Vildoza L.	92. Ulanovas E.
30. Morgan M.	1. Williams-Goss N.
Substitutes
3. Edwards C.	15. Birutis L.
24. Ferrari F.	3. Francisco S.
23. Hackett D.	12. Lo M.
34. Jallow K.	17. Rubstavicius M.
6. Pajola A.	91. Sirvydis D.
9. Smailagic A.	14. Sleva D.
11. Taylor B.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Virtus Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 503:567. (average 71.9:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 224:240. (average 74.7:80).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75% Virtus Bologna: 0.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
7	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	2	2	340:333
9	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Trapani	Virtus Bologna awarded ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	97:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.12.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	66:74 ✺
Euroleague
26.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:97 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	86:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?WWLW
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	112:77 ✺
Euroleague
30.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Žalgiris Kaunas	80:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.12.25	Rytas - Žalgiris Kaunas	81:90 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Panathinaikos	85:92 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
21.12.25	Jonava - Žalgiris Kaunas	73:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
28.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	86:65
15.01.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	77:68
15.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	68:71
19.03.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	96:81
05.10.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	79:82
10.01.23	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:87
18.10.22	Žalgiris Kaunas - Virtus Bologna	68:65

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