Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - ROUND 9

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	Vitória de Guimarães		Portimonense

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.39	2.65	Watch
	1.41	2.87
	1.41	2.87
	1.44	2.62
	1.41	2.72
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.71 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Guimarães
65.7%

Portimonense
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Guimarães's performance.

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Guimarães that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitória de Guimarães - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vitória de Guimarães will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vitória de Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 82-79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
25.11.23	Imortal - Vitória de Guimarães	82:74 ✺
18.11.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	74:83 OT ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
12.11.23	Portimonense - Vitória de Guimarães	79:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
04.11.23	Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	94:70 ✺
28.10.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Lusitânia	75:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese LPB
25.11.23	Povoa - Portimonense	81:74 OT ✺
18.11.23	Portimonense - Lusitânia	67:64 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
12.11.23	Portimonense - Vitória de Guimarães	79:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
05.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	94:73 ✺
28.10.23	Portimonense - Ovarense	62:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
12.11.23	Portimonense - Vitória de Guimarães	79:82

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