Match Info

LPB - Round 1

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense (Guimarães)


	Vitória de Guimarães		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
	3.1	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.38	1.22
	3.28	1.3
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.01)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Guimarães
28.4%

Sporting Lisbon
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Araujo B.	3. Harden-Hayes M.
11. Baker J.	0. Johns Jr B.
2. Jacobs M.	24. Morgan M.
5. Peek S.	7. Robinson C.
24. Sangha J.	30. Swenson S.
Substitutes
15. Bastos P. (C)	6. Amarante F.
4. Case M.	2. Bowman M.
8. Costa R.	4. Correia M.
46. Gewert F.	13. Fernandes J.
7. Mendes A.	5. Palhares R.
14. Pinto P.	1. Razaque U.
6. Verde S.	9. Ventura D. (C)
Coaches
. Miranda M.	. Magalhaes L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 0.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1593:1875. (average 79.7:93.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 849:901. (average 84.9:90.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	81:84 ✺
13.09.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Básquet Coruña	94:90 ✺
Portuguese LPB
14.05.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Benfica	68:88 ✺
09.05.25	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	99:87 ✺
26.04.25	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL
- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
Club Friendly Basketball
28.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	106:80 ✺
25.09.25	CAQ Queluz - Sporting Lisbon	83:87 ✺
12.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Surrey 89ers	87:65 ✺
Portuguese LPB
30.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	74:78 ✺
25.05.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	83:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
12.04.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	89:97
21.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	92:90
04.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	98:68
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
27.01.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	80:88
Portuguese LPB
08.10.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	89:92
04.01.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	95:90
16.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	114:83

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