Match Info

LPB - Round 14

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense (Guimarães)


	Vitória de Guimarães		CAQ Queluz

	1	2
	1.67	2	Watch
	1.69	1.99
	1.71	1.99
	1.7	2
	1.68	2.06
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	2.02 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Guimarães
54.4%

CAQ Queluz
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

CAQ Queluz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Vitória de Guimarães - CAQ Queluz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gewert F.	4. Bradley M.
2. Jacobs M.	1. Dixon J.
0. Jenkins C.	14. Robinson W.
5. Peek S.	7. Simmons J.
24. Sangha J.	23. Williams D.
Substitutes
3. Araujo B.	10. Carniero J.
11. Baker J.	27. Garrido L.
15. Bastos P. (C)	22. Hallman A.
8. Costa R.	8. Horta D.
7. Mendes A.	12. Silva S.
14. Pinto P.	3. Tavares G. (C)
6. Verde S.	0. Wade D.
Coaches
. Miranda M.	. Rodrigues C.

Preview

Recent form of Guimarães has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, CAQ Queluz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, CAQ Queluz has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 262:232. (average 87.3:77.3).

Including home match between the teams, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 104:77.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Vitoria	1	1	0	83:78	2
11	CA Queluz	1	0	1	93:110	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
31.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Imortal	82:77 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense	81:86 ✺
Portuguese LPB
24.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitória de Guimarães	99:72 ✺
10.01.26	Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães	84:76 ✺
04.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	84:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL
- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese LPB
01.02.26	CAQ Queluz - Braga	83:82 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	98:110 ✺
Portuguese LPB
24.01.26	Imortal - CAQ Queluz	83:75 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Oliveirense - CAQ Queluz	74:63 ✺
Portuguese LPB
10.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	CAQ Queluz - Vitória de Guimarães	76:72
08.03.25	Vitória de Guimarães - CAQ Queluz	104:77
13.11.24	CAQ Queluz - Vitória de Guimarães	79:86

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