Match Info

NBA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Washington Wizards		Minnesota Timberwolves

	1	2
	4.25	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.22
	5.05	1.2	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	5.09	1.21
	4.75	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.6)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 240.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Wizards
20.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
79.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Wizards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Wizards's form might have worsened.

Minnesota Timberwolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Timberwolves's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Washington Wizards - Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Minnesota will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10, OT - Washington (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Wizards will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 115:126

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Coulibaly B.	3. McDaniels J.
22. Middleton K.	30. Randle J.
20. Sarr A.	27. Gobert R.
12. Johnson T.	5. Edwards A.
3. McCollum C.	0. DiVincenzo D.
Coaches
. Keefe B.	. Finch C.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.

Washington is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minnesota has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.

In this match, Minnesota is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Washington: George K. (Hip Injury) Kispert C. (Hamstring Injury) Whitmore C. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Shannon Jr. T. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Vukcevic T. (Illness)

We predict that Washington will win today's game, with odds of 4.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2312:2278. (average 115.6:113.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1138:1137. (average 113.8:113.7).

Outrights of NBA for now

Minnesota Timberwolves: 3.27% Washington Wizards: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Wizards - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 26.23%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Wizards
NBA
02.01.26	Washington Wizards - Brooklyn Nets	119:99 ✺
31.12.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Washington Wizards	113:114 ✺
29.12.25	Washington Wizards - Phoenix Suns	101:115 ✺
28.12.25	Washington Wizards - Memphis Grizzlies	116:112 ✺
26.12.25	Washington Wizards - Toronto Raptors	138:117 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWLWW
- Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
03.01.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:125 ✺
31.12.25	Atlanta Hawks - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:102 ✺
29.12.25	Chicago Bulls - Minnesota Timberwolves	101:136 ✺
27.12.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Brooklyn Nets	107:123 ✺
25.12.25	Denver Nuggets - Minnesota Timberwolves	142:138 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
19.11.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Washington Wizards	120:109
01.02.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Washington Wizards	103:105
13.01.25	Washington Wizards - Minnesota Timberwolves	106:120
09.04.24	Minnesota Timberwolves - Washington Wizards	130:121
24.01.24	Washington Wizards - Minnesota Timberwolves	107:118
16.02.23	Minnesota Timberwolves - Washington Wizards	106:114
28.11.22	Washington Wizards - Minnesota Timberwolves	142:127

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