Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Gimnasio Óscar Magurno (Montevideo)


	Welcome		Nacional

	1	2
			Watch
	6.55	1.06
	7.46	1.04
	4.28	1.16	Watch
	7.9	1.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↓ (7.52)	1.08 ↑ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welcome
14.1%

Nacional
85.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

87.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welcome has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Welcome - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Barrera Gustavo .	6. Bell E.
2. Esparza D.	51. Espindola G.
11. Moglia S. (C)	4. Feldeine J.
0. Moore M.	24. Galeano J.
31. Pena A.	10. Parodi L.
Substitutes
12. Garcia F.	33. Barrera B.
14. Lagos R.	88. Bennett L.
25. Pena D.	20. Gomez P.
7. Previatti R.	2. Imas L.
86. Segui T.	3. Mendez A.
34. Sosa F.	21. Prieto P. (C)
10. Stoll J.	22. Superi E.
Coaches
. Rivas D.	. Ponce A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welcome won 0.

Welcome may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacional is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Welcome won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 952:1056. (average 79.3:88).

Including home matches between the teams, Welcome won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 455:488. (average 75.8:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Welcome
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.10.25	Urunday Universitario - Welcome	113:73 ✺
06.04.25	Urupan de Pando - Welcome	87:88 ✺
22.03.25	Biguá - Welcome	124:90 ✺
18.03.25	Trouville Montevideo - Welcome	81:106 ✺
15.03.25	Welcome - Urupan de Pando	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWW
- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
13.10.25	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	62:87 ✺
01.06.25	Nacional - Aguada	79:77 ✺
30.05.25	Aguada - Nacional	96:97 ✺
27.05.25	Nacional - Aguada	103:98 ✺
25.05.25	Aguada - Nacional	80:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
30.01.25	Welcome - Nacional	69:117
01.11.24	Nacional - Welcome	115:64
04.01.19	Nacional - Welcome	104:85
16.10.18	Welcome - Nacional	73:75
16.04.18	Welcome - Nacional	68:70
12.04.18	Nacional - Welcome	75:89
09.04.18	Welcome - Nacional	79:85

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