Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.34	3.35
	1.3	3.25
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.3	3.35
	1.34	3.23
	1.28	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.29 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
71.3%

Missouri State Bears
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:71

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Preview

Western Kentucky has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Missouri State is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Western Kentucky is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Western Kentucky won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 158:169. (average 79:84.5).

Including home match between the teams, Western Kentucky won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	UTEP Miners - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	56:68 ✺
08.01.26	New Mexico State Aggies - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	80:64 ✺
04.01.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	66:61 ✺
02.01.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Sam Houston State Bearkats	102:91 ✺
29.12.25	Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	78:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Missouri State Bears - Florida International Golden Panthers	79:71 ✺
07.01.26	Kennesaw State Owls - Missouri State Bears	90:80 ✺
04.01.26	Missouri State Bears - New Mexico State Aggies	89:82 ✺
02.01.26	Missouri State Bears - UTEP Miners	79:55 ✺
29.12.25	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - Missouri State Bears	43:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
05.12.18	Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	84:78
10.11.17	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears	80:85

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide