Match Info

NBL1 Central - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Woodville Warriors		Central Districts Lions

	1	2
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.15	1.62
	2.12	1.67
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.03	1.69
	2.01	1.70	Watch
	2.00	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woodville Warriors
44.9%

Central Districts Lions
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woodville Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Woodville Warriors's form might have worsened.

Central Districts Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Districts Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woodville Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Woodville Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Districts Lions than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Districts Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Woodville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Woodville won 2.

Recent performances by Woodville have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Districts is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Central Districts will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Woodville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1161:1154. (average 89.3:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Woodville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 575:490. (average 95.8:81.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woodville Warriors
Australian NBL1 Central
11.07.26	Southern Tigers - Woodville Warriors	106:108 ✺
06.07.26	Woodville Warriors - Forestville Eagles	78:87 ✺
28.06.26	Woodville Warriors - North Adelaide Rockets	114:112 OT ✺
27.06.26	Eastern Mavericks - Woodville Warriors	90:72 ✺
20.06.26	Sturt Sabres - Woodville Warriors	56:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW
- Central Districts Lions
Australian NBL1 Central
11.07.26	Central Districts Lions - Norwood Flames	110:100 ✺
04.07.26	West Adelaide Bearcats - Central Districts Lions	89:104 ✺
28.06.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	92:98 ✺
27.06.26	Central Districts Lions - Forestville Eagles	80:106 ✺
20.06.26	Eastern Mavericks - Central Districts Lions	75:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
30.05.26	Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors	80:77
11.04.26	Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions	97:83
26.07.25	Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors	116:84
19.07.25	Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions	97:95
03.05.25	Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors	82:77
22.06.24	Central Districts Lions - Woodville Warriors	111:84
11.05.24	Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions	96:104

Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide