Match Info

CBA

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Hongshan Arena (Ürümqi)


	Xinjiang Flying Tigers		Beijing Ducks

	1	2
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.08	1.7
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	1.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.64)	1.67 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
44.7%

Beijing Ducks
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xinjiang Flying Tigers's performance.

Beijing Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Ducks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xinjiang Flying Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Ducks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Beijing will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xinjiang: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Xinjiang Flying Tigers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Qi Lin	9. Raymond
5. Lawson D.	14. Spellman O.
13. Li Yanzhe	17. Fan Ziming
1. Nutall Z.	24. Zhao Rui
0. Saimati Xierzhati	10. German E.
Substitutes
23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu	1. Chen Ying-Chun
10. Feng Ao	8. Fang Shuo
9. Guanxi Wu	21. Munger M.
36. Haoran Ge	20. Zhai Xiaochuan
00. Harris K.	16. Zhang Cairen
4. Monhetaner Yilifulati	28. Zhang P.
34. Tuxun Aizimaiti	26. Zhang Z.
Coaches
. Wei Liu	. Xu Limin

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 3.

Xinjiang has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beijing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Xinjiang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beijing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Beijing will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1794:1810. (average 89.7:90.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Xinjiang won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 810:740. (average 90:82.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
24.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Qingdao DoubleStar	79:97 ✺
20.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	92:86 ✺
18.12.25	Beijing Royal Fighters - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	95:105 ✺
15.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	111:84 ✺
13.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Fujian Xunxing	99:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Beijing Ducks
CBA
22.12.25	Sichuan Blue Whales - Beijing Ducks	46:97 ✺
20.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Shenzhen Leopards	104:88 ✺
17.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Liaoning Dinosaurs	94:81 ✺
15.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	111:84 ✺
13.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Beijing Ducks	74:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
15.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	111:84
30.12.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	108:97
Chinese CBA Club Cup
15.11.24	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	79:85
CBA
22.10.24	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	98:89
24.03.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	94:91
17.12.23	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	88:103
18.03.22	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	111:100

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