Match Info

CBA

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Cadillac Arena (Beijing)


	Beijing Ducks		Xinjiang Flying Tigers

	1	2
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.39	2.66
	1.51	2.43	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)	2.62 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Ducks
64.4%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Ducks's performance.

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinjiang Flying Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Ducks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinjiang Flying Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Beijing will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Xinjiang will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 181, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beijing Ducks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. German E.	5. Lawson D.
27. Qi Z.	13. Li Yanzhe
9. Raymond	1. Nutall Z.
14. Spellman O.	11. Qi Lin
24. Zhao Rui	0. Saimati X.
Substitutes
1. Chen Ying-Chun	23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu
8. Fang Shuo	9. Guanxi W.
21. Munger M.	4. Monhetaner Yilifulati
20. Zhai Xiaochuan	28. Richardson W.
16. Zhang Cairen	6. Rui Y.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Xinjiang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Beijing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1816:1809. (average 90.8:90.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 959:900. (average 95.9:90).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Ducks
CBA
13.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Beijing Ducks	74:84 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
08.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Ducks	92:89 ✺
07.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	95:99 ✺
06.12.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Beijing Ducks	86:105 ✺
04.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Qingdao DoubleStar	76:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
13.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Fujian Xunxing	99:91 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	94:85 ✺
06.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	78:99 ✺
04.12.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	96:95 ✺
03.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	78:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
30.12.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	108:97
Chinese CBA Club Cup
15.11.24	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	79:85
CBA
22.10.24	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	98:89
24.03.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	94:91
17.12.23	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	88:103
18.03.22	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	111:100
28.02.22	Beijing Ducks - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	106:65

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