Match Info

CBA

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hongshan Arena (Ürümqi)


	Xinjiang Flying Tigers		Beijing Royal Fighters

	1	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.68	2.11
	1.77	1.97	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.34)	2.05 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
54.3%

Beijing Royal Fighters
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinjiang Flying Tigers's form might have worsened.

Beijing Royal Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Royal Fighters's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinjiang Flying Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Royal Fighters than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Royal Fighters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Royal Fighters will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Xinjiang (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Royal Fighters (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4, OT - Royal Fighters (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 - Royal Fighters (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Xinjiang (votes: 1 - 20%). Royal Fighters (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Lawson D.	2. Liao Sanning
13. Li Yanzhe	13. Perry R.
4. Monhetaner Yilifulati	24. Riller G.
1. Nutall Z.	8. Zhu Songwei
6. Rui Yang	10. Zou Yuchen
Substitutes
23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu	15. Du Bochao
10. Feng Ao	3. Fan Huiliu
36. Haoran Ge	23. House J.
00. Harris K.	11. Jin Xin
7. Mennenga S.	33. Luo Hanchen
19. Qu Xiaoyu	12. Shen Zijie
34. Tuxun Aizimaiti	19. Zhang Yijing
Coaches
. Bedev G.	. Zhang Q.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Royal Fighters has had a series of away games.

Xinjiang will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2065:1911. (average 103.3:95.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Xinjiang won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1172:1007. (average 106.5:91.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
13.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Jilin Northeast Tigers	82:89 ✺
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80 ✺
03.02.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	59:61 ✺
01.02.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	47:105 ✺
29.01.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	88:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Beijing Royal Fighters
CBA
13.03.26	Beijing Royal Fighters - Tianjin Ronggang	106:98 ✺
11.03.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Royal Fighters	106:92 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.02.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Royal Fighters	99:86 ✺
CBA
03.02.26	Ningbo Rockets - Beijing Royal Fighters	79:75 ✺
01.02.26	Fujian Xunxing - Beijing Royal Fighters	92:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
18.12.25	Beijing Royal Fighters - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	95:105
Club Friendly Basketball
27.08.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	79:73
CBA
31.03.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	85:81
24.12.24	Beijing Royal Fighters - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	93:100
15.12.24	Beijing Royal Fighters - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	102:101
17.10.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	114:111
10.03.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	102:95

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