Match Info

CBA

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Hongshan Arena (Ürümqi)


	Xinjiang Flying Tigers		Shanxi Zhongyu

	1	2
	2.35	1.54	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.49	1.5
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.56	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
38%

Shanxi Zhongyu
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinjiang Flying Tigers's form might have worsened.

Shanxi Zhongyu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanxi Zhongyu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinjiang Flying Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanxi Zhongyu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xinjiang (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Xinjiang Flying Tigers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Lawson D.	2. Fall-Faye I.
13. Li Yanzhe	35. Ge Zhaobao
1. Nutall Z.	3. Jia Mingru
11. Qi Lin	14. Knight M.
6. Rui Yang	6. Sedak Y.
Substitutes
23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu	1. Chen Pengyudi
12. Boo	11. Diallo H.
10. Feng Ao	24. Guy K.
36. Haoran Ge	18. Han Peiyu
7. Mennenga S.	17. Jiao H.
19. Qu Xiaoyu	32. Liu Dong
8. Zhaohang Y.	8. Zhang Ning
Coaches
. Bjedov G.	. Jiang P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 3.

Xinjiang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shanxi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xinjiang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanxi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xinjiang won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2236:2015. (average 111.8:100.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Xinjiang won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1232:1055. (average 112:95.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
01.04.26	Liaoning Dinosaurs - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	87:75 ✺
30.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Ningbo Rockets	70:73 ✺
28.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Nanjing Monkey King	94:87 ✺
25.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	82:102 ✺
23.03.26	Ningbo Rockets - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	84:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Shanxi Zhongyu
CBA
01.04.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Shanxi Zhongyu	81:103 ✺
29.03.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shanghai Sharks	96:100 ✺
27.03.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	100:94 ✺
25.03.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shanghai Sharks	80:112 ✺
23.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	99:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese CBA Club Cup
11.02.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	105:89
CBA
05.01.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	115:110
22.12.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	128:121 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
03.10.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	100:89
CBA
02.02.24	Shanxi Zhongyu - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	111:108
09.12.23	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	111:86
30.12.22	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	127:110

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