Match Info

EUROPE: Euroleague Women - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)


	Zaragoza		Bourges Basket

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.86	1.95
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.64)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
52.4%

Bourges Basket
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Bourges Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourges Basket than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bourges Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Zaragoza - Bourges Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: Bourges Basket will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Nystrom E.	0. Okonkwo A.
33. Mawuli S.	25. Spanou A. (C)
20. Hermosa N.	22. Diaby K.
22. Atkinson T.	18. Astier P.
4. Ortiz M. (C)	7. Green M.
Substitutes
7. Brcaninovic M.	39. Duchet A.
30. Evans S.	11. Filip A.
10. Flores L.	21. Guapo L.
1. Mane M. F.	26. Pitarch-Granel I.
16. Oma H.	32. Pouye T.
13. Pueyo H.
12. Urdiain L.
Coaches
. Cantero C.	. Lafargue O.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches New York won 2.

New York is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chicago is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Chicago have a series of home games.

In this match New York is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches New York won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 2258:2180 (average 112.9:109).

Including matches at home between the teams New York won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1144:1060 (average 114.4:106).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDB Zaragoza
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
16.02.25	Zaragoza - Cadí La Seu	81:65 ✺
13.02.25	Porta XI Ensino - Zaragoza	66:75 ✺
31.01.25	Zaragoza - Celta	62:65 ✺
Euroleague Women
28.01.25	USK Prague - Zaragoza	72:66 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
26.01.25	Valencia - Zaragoza	82:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Bourges Basket
French LFB
16.02.25	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Bourges Basket	63:78 ✺
01.02.25	Bourges Basket - Roche Vendée	94:73 ✺
Euroleague Women
28.01.25	Bourges Basket - Famila Schio	72:84 ✺
French LFB
25.01.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Bourges Basket	59:60 ✺
Euroleague Women
22.01.25	CB Avenida - Bourges Basket	51:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

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