Match Info

CBA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zhuji Jiyang Sports Center Gymnasium (Zhuji) 🌤️ ...


	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions		Beijing Ducks

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (1.4)	1.41 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
33.8%

Beijing Ducks
66.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhejiang Guangsha Lions's form might have worsened.

Beijing Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Ducks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions than the current prediction. (+32.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (-32.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Ducks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Ducks Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zhejiang Guangsha Lions will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups


22. Carlton J.	1. Chen Ying-Chun
21. Hu Jinqiu	8. Fang Shuo
12. Junwei X.	17. Fan Ziming
0. Lin B. S.	10. German E.
23. Sampson J.	6. Jiang Wen
17. Sun Minghui	21. Munger M.
59. Tucker R.	27. Qi Z.
26. Wu Xiao	9. Raymond
1. Xu Ke	14. Spellman O.
9. Zhao Jiaren	7. Zeng F.
25. Zhao Yanhao	20. Zhai Xiaochuan
10. Zhu Junlong	16. Zhang Cairen
Coaches
. Bo W.	. Xu Limin

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhejiang won 4.

Zhejiang has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Beijing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhejiang might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zhejiang won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1923:1879. (average 96.2:94).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhejiang won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 930:919. (average 93:91.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Beijing	6	6	0	625:473	1.000
6	Zhejiang Guangsha	5	3	2	463:465	0.600

Outrights of CBA for now

Zhejiang Guangsha: 6.92%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
CBA
01.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	68:102 ✺
30.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	85:91 ✺
27.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	110:80 ✺
25.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Liaoning Dinosaurs	96:64 ✺
23.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Fujian Xunxing	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Beijing Ducks
CBA
01.01.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	105:74 ✺
30.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	85:91 ✺
28.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Beijing Ducks	70:96 ✺
26.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Ducks	85:89 ✺
22.12.25	Sichuan Blue Whales - Beijing Ducks	46:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
30.12.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	85:91
Chinese CBA Club Cup
08.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Ducks	92:89
CBA
20.05.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	118:125
17.05.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Ducks	92:94
14.05.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	73:106
12.05.25	Beijing Ducks - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	103:114
09.05.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Beijing Ducks	103:96

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