Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga A

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Espacio DAM (Zarate)


	Zárate		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.13	1.72
	2.11	1.69
	2.05	1.7
	2.07	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.79)	1.68 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zárate
44.6%

Ferro Carril Oeste
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zárate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zárate's form might have worsened.

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro Carril Oeste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zárate than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zárate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	0%	12.9%

Zárate - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: Zárate will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Aprea J.	25. Bettiga V.
22. Fraga L.	14. Diez A.
11. Gomez C.	93. Fierro M.
9. Merchant E.	12. Gallegos R.
33. Pinero P.	21. Spano T.
Substitutes
7. Capponi L.	2. Gonzalez M.
1. Ceci M.	4. Lezcano E.
5. Diggs A.	31. Malachias G.
2. Fernandez L.	6. Martinez J.
13. Maggi A.	13. Rodriguez C.
10. Pascolatt F.	9. Rodriguez F.
21. Sciamanna G.	7. Roveres A.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ferro Basquet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Zárate to win the game is with odds 1.88.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zárate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 141:149 (average 70.5:74.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Zárate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 67:64

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zárate Basket
Argentinian LNB
23.01.25	Zárate - Instituto Córdoba	Instituto de Cordoba awarded ✺
19.01.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Zárate	98:68 ✺
14.01.25	Zárate - Argentino	86:77 ✺
07.01.25	Obras Sanitarias - Zárate	98:73 ✺
22.12.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Zárate	83:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 ?LWLW
- Ferro Carril Oeste Basquet
Argentinian LNB
24.01.25	Argentino - Ferro Carril Oeste	89:84 ✺
10.01.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	88:84 ✺
07.01.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Oberá TC	88:81 ✺
18.12.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - La Unión Formosa	99:100 ✺
11.12.24	Riachuelo de La Rioja - Ferro Carril Oeste	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
20.05.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Zárate	85:74
30.10.23	Zárate - Ferro Carril Oeste	67:64

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