Match Info

Liga A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Héctor Etchart (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Gimnasia y Esgrima

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.6	2.18
	1.62	2.32
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.21 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
57.7%

Gimnasia y Esgrima
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ferro Basquet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Gimnasia will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bettiga L.	22. Carabali B.
5. Defelippo J.	6. Cisneros A.
14. Diez A.	9. Dato M.
6. Martinez J.	77. Grun F.
2. Torresi J.	12. Toretta E.
Substitutes
12. Gallegos R.	10. Carrasco S.
4. Lezcano E.	3. Centeno J.
23. Peacock A.	5. Chacon M.
13. Rodriguez C.	30. Cosolito M.
9. Rodriguez F.	11. Horton K.
0. Tamagusuku T.	14. Rivero C.

Preview

Gimnasia leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferro Basquet won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1545:1589. (average 77.3:79.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Basquet won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 882:866. (average 80.2:78.7).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Gimnasia: 16.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Gimnasia	4	2	2	314:311	0.500
12	Ferro	2	1	1	165:171	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste Basquet
Argentinian LNB
28.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	74:70 ✺
25.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	77:72 ✺
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:77 ✺
18.05.26	Regatas Corrientes - Ferro Carril Oeste	85:87 ✺
15.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Regatas Corrientes	71:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
28.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	74:70 ✺
25.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	77:72 ✺
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:77 ✺
18.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	81:71 ✺
15.05.26	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
28.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	74:70
25.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	77:72
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:77
18.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	88:75
22.11.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	84:72
03.06.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	91:70
31.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste	64:77

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