Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: WBC Title

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Mario Barrios		Manny Pacquiao

	1	2
	1.36	3.15
	1.38	2.95
	1.32	3.1
	1.35	3.46
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	3.13 ↓ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mario Barrios
69.7%

Manny Pacquiao
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mario Barrios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Manny Pacquiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Mario Barrios - Manny Pacquiao Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrios will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pacquiao will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 11.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

#ad

Preview

Title fight.

In this match, Barrios is a strong favorite.

The boxers have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mario Barrios
Boxing
15.11.24	Mario Barrios - Abel Ramos	Draw ✺
04.05.24	Mario Barrios - Fabian Maidana	Barrios M. win ✺
30.09.23	Yordenis Ugas - Mario Barrios	Barrios M. win ✺
11.02.23	Mario Barrios - Jovanie Santiago	Barrios M. - 8th Round TKO ✺
05.02.22	Keith Thurman - Mario Barrios	Thurman K. win ✺
- Manny Pacquiao
Boxing
21.08.21	Manny Pacquiao - Yordenis Ugas	Ugas Y. win ✺
21.08.21	Manny Pacquiao - Errol Spence	Canceled ✺
20.07.19	Keith Thurman - Manny Pacquiao	Pacquiao M. win Pacquiao M. - Round 12 / 3:00 Points ✺
19.01.19	Manny Pacquiao - Adrien Broner	Pacquiao M. win Pacquiao M. - Round 12 Points ✺
14.07.18	Manny Pacquiao - Lucas Martin Matthysse	Pacquiao M. win Pacquiao M. - Round 7 Knockout ✺

Mario Barrios - Manny Pacquiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide