Match Info

SUPER MIDDLEWEIGHT - MEN: WBC/WBA/WBO/IBF Titles

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: WBC/WBA/WBO/IBF Titles 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	04:00	Netflix


	Saul Alvarez		Terence Crawford

	1	2
	1.56	2.45
	1.55	2.45
	1.5	2.38
	1.57	2.54
	1.59	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saul Alvarez
60.9%

Terence Crawford
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saul Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Terence Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Saul Alvarez - Terence Crawford Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alvarez will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Crawford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Crawford (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

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Preview

Alvarez Saul defending title.

Alvarez could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the boxers.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saul Alvarez
Boxing
03.05.25	Saul Alvarez - William Scull	Alvarez S. win ✺
15.09.24	Saul Alvarez - Edgar Berlanga	Alvarez S. win ✺
04.05.24	Saul Alvarez - Jaime Munguia	Alvarez S. win ✺
30.09.23	Saul Alvarez - Jermell Charlo	Alvarez S. win ✺
06.05.23	Saul Alvarez - John Ryder	Alvarez S. win ✺
- Terence Crawford
Boxing
04.08.24	Israil Madrimov - Terence Crawford	Crawford T. win ✺
29.07.23	Errol Spence - Terence Crawford	Crawford T. - 9th Round TKO ✺
10.12.22	Terence Crawford - David Avanesyan	Crawford T. - 6th Round KO ✺
20.11.21	Terence Crawford - Shawn Porter	Crawford T. - 10th Round TKO ✺
14.11.20	Terence Crawford - Kell Brook	Crawford T. win Crawford T. - Round 4 / 1:14 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saul Alvarez
Boxing
31.10.26	Christian Mbilli - Saul Alvarez	✺

Saul Alvarez - Terence Crawford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide