What is the expert prediction for Sebastien Fundora vs Keith Thurman?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Sebastien Fundora vs Keith Thurman. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Sebastien Fundora vs Keith Thurman Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 29, 2026)

Match Info

SUPER WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: WBC Title

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Slovakia	Sport 1


	Sebastien Fundora		Keith Thurman

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.22	3.8
	1.26	3.83
	1.3	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastien Fundora
73.8%

Keith Thurman
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastien Fundora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Keith Thurman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Fundora will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Fundora Sebastian defending title.

In this match, Fundora is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fundora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastien Fundora
Boxing
25.10.25	Sebastien Fundora - Keith Thurman	Canceled ✺
19.07.25	Sebastien Fundora - Tim Tszyu	Fundora S. - 7th Round KO ✺
23.03.25	Sebastien Fundora - Chordale Booker	Fundora S. - 4th Round TKO ✺
31.03.24	Tim Tszyu - Sebastien Fundora	Fundora S. win ✺
30.03.24	Sebastien Fundora - Serhii Bohachuk	Canceled ✺
- Keith Thurman
Boxing
25.10.25	Sebastien Fundora - Keith Thurman	Canceled ✺
12.03.25	Keith Thurman - Brock Jarvis	Thurman K. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
30.03.24	Tim Tszyu - Keith Thurman	Canceled ✺
05.02.22	Keith Thurman - Mario Barrios	Thurman K. win ✺
20.07.19	Keith Thurman - Manny Pacquiao	Pacquiao M. win Pacquiao M. - Round 12 / 3:00 Points ✺

Latest Head to Head

Boxing
25.10.25	Sebastien Fundora - Keith Thurman	Canceled

Sebastien Fundora - Keith Thurman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide