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Current Win Probability
Lancashire 37.1%
Durham 62.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.1%
67.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancashire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancashire than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancashire won 2.
Lancashire is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Durham is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Durham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Durham in today's match, at odds of 1.5.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lancashire has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4030:4585 (averaging 201.5:229.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lancashire against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 2002:2121 goals (averaging 182:192.8 per game).
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