Match Info

County Championship Two

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Worcestershire		Derbyshire

	1	2
	1.7	2.1
	1.7	2.03
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcestershire
55.4%

Derbyshire
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcestershire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Derbyshire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcestershire than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derbyshire than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worcestershire won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Worcestershire has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5925:6891 (averaging 296.3:344.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Worcestershire against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 2301:2878 goals (averaging 255.7:319.8 per game).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
5	Worcestershire	14	5	5	4	0	6389:6495	163
6	Derbyshire	14	4	7	3	0	6259:6925	147

Last Results with these Odds

Derbyshire - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.62%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcestershire County Cricket Club
County Championship Two Cricket
15.09.26	Durham - Worcestershire	700:480 ✺
08.09.26	Worcestershire - Northamptonshire	382:385 ✺
02.09.26	Kent - Worcestershire	596:512 ✺
27.08.26	Worcestershire - Lancashire	263:182 ✺
20.08.26	Gloucestershire - Worcestershire	545:548 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Derbyshire Falcons
County Championship Two Cricket
15.09.26	Northamptonshire - Derbyshire	636:658 ✺
08.09.26	Derbyshire - Kent	652:471 ✺
02.09.26	Gloucestershire - Derbyshire	596:383 ✺
27.08.26	Derbyshire - Middlesex	131:111 ✺
20.08.26	Derbyshire - Durham	240:578 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Royal London One-Day Cup
24.07.26	Worcestershire - Derbyshire	143:138
County Championship Two Cricket
03.04.26	Derbyshire - Worcestershire	625:312
Royal London One-Day Cup
15.08.25	Derbyshire - Worcestershire	315:316
Vitality Blast
10.07.25	Derbyshire - Worcestershire	162:174
Royal London One-Day Cup
02.08.24	Derbyshire - Worcestershire	260:261
Vitality Blast
18.07.24	Worcestershire - Derbyshire	169:170
Royal London One-Day Cup
18.08.23	Derbyshire - Worcestershire	192:254

Worcestershire - Derbyshire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide