Match Info

Date: 16 May 2020, Saturday


	Aaron Monk		Paul Nicholson

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.24
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aaron Monk
61.9%

Paul Nicholson
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aaron Monk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Paul Nicholson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aaron Monk than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aaron Monk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Nicholson than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paul Nicholson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aaron Monk
Darts
16.05.20	Scott Mitchell - Aaron Monk	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
16.05.20	Aaron Monk - Darryl Fitton	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
16.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Aaron Monk	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
16.05.20	David Evans - Aaron Monk	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
16.05.20	Aaron Monk - Adam Huckvale	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Paul Nicholson
Darts
16.05.20	Adam Huckvale - Paul Nicholson	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
16.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Wessel Nijman	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Aaron Monk	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Keelan Kay - Paul Nicholson	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Wessel Nijman	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Aaron Monk	2:4 best of 7 legs
12.05.20	Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson	4:3 best of 7 legs
25.04.20	Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson	3:5 best of 9 legs
24.04.20	Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson	4:5 best of 9 legs
23.04.20	Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson	4:5 best of 9 legs
21.04.20	Paul Nicholson - Aaron Monk	5:4 best of 9 legs
18.04.20	Paul Nicholson - Aaron Monk	3:5 best of 9 legs

Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide