Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Adam Smith-Neale		Aden Kirk

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.05	1.3
	3.05	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.45	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Smith-Neale
28.7%

Aden Kirk
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Smith-Neale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aden Kirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Smith-Neale than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aden Kirk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Adam Smith Neale - Aden Kirk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Smith-Neale is ranked World Ranking: 81. Kirk is ranked World Ranking: 188.

Recent form of Smith-Neale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kirk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Kirk is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kirk will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith-Neale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Smith-Neale
Darts
15.05.26	Adam Smith-Neale - Richard McKee	2:4 ✺
14.05.26	Richard McKee - Adam Smith-Neale	4:3 ✺
14.05.26	Aden Kirk - Adam Smith-Neale	4:1 ✺
14.05.26	Adam Smith-Neale - Asa Cansdale	3:4 ✺
14.05.26	Giovanni Matthee - Adam Smith-Neale	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aden Kirk
Darts
15.05.26	Aden Kirk - Bradley van der Velden	4:1 ✺
14.05.26	Bradley van der Velden - Aden Kirk	2:4 ✺
14.05.26	Aden Kirk - Adam Smith-Neale	4:1 ✺
14.05.26	Giovanni Matthee - Aden Kirk	2:4 ✺
14.05.26	Aden Kirk - Richard McKee	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.05.26	Aden Kirk - Adam Smith-Neale	4:1

Adam Smith-Neale - Aden Kirk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide