Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Alex Spellman		Conor Heneghan

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.65
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2.07	1.68
	1.92	1.77
	2.03	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.21)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Spellman
45.9%

Conor Heneghan
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Spellman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Conor Heneghan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Spellman than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Spellman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conor Heneghan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Conor Heneghan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Spellman - Conor Heneghan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Spellman is ranked World Ranking: 149., and Heneghan is ranked World Ranking: 179..

In recent outings, Spellman has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Heneghan has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spellman has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 3:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Conor Heneghan - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Spellman
Darts
08.10.26	Alex Spellman - Andreas Harrysson	4:1 ✺
08.10.26	Daniel Ayres - Alex Spellman	4:1 ✺
08.10.26	Alex Spellman - Oliver Mitchell	2:4 ✺
08.10.26	Harrison Leigh - Alex Spellman	2:4 ✺
07.10.26	Alex Spellman - Steve Lennon	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Conor Heneghan
Darts
08.10.26	Conor Heneghan - Harrison Leigh	4:2 ✺
08.10.26	Andreas Harrysson - Conor Heneghan	0:4 ✺
08.10.26	Conor Heneghan - Daniel Ayres	3:4 ✺
08.10.26	Oliver Mitchell - Conor Heneghan	0:4 ✺
07.10.26	Niek Tuik - Conor Heneghan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.10.26	Conor Heneghan - Alex Spellman	2:4
06.10.26	Alex Spellman - Conor Heneghan	4:0
05.10.26	Conor Heneghan - Alex Spellman	4:1

Alex Spellman - Conor Heneghan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide