Match Info

UK Open - Second stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)


	Chris Dobey		James Wade

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.63	2.05
	1.40	2.61	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
59.2%

James Wade
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

James Wade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Wade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chris Dobey - James Wade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 13. Wade is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Dobey is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wade's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:53. (average 7.4:10.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Chris Dobey - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

James Wade - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
22.02.26	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	6:2 ✺
22.02.26	Luke Woodhouse - Chris Dobey	5:6 ✺
21.02.26	Chris Dobey - Connor Scuut	6:0 ✺
17.02.26	Chris Dobey - Tommy Morris	6:1 ✺
10.02.26	Chris Dobey - Charlie Manby	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- James Wade
Darts
21.02.26	James Wade - Cameron Menzies	0:6 ✺
17.02.26	James Wade - Cameron Crabtree	1:6 ✺
10.02.26	Dave Chisnall - James Wade	6:5 ✺
01.02.26	Gian Van Veen - James Wade	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gary Anderson - James Wade	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
15.11.23	James Wade - Chris Dobey	10:8
16.07.23	James Wade - Chris Dobey	8:10
30.01.21	James Wade - Chris Dobey	10:4 best of 19 legs
24.11.18	James Wade - Chris Dobey	9:10
19.11.16	Chris Dobey - James Wade	5:16 best of 31 legs

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