Match Info

European Tour 9 - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Incheba Expo-Arena (Bratislava)


	Chris Dobey		Ross Smith

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.78	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
52.6%

Ross Smith
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Chris Dobey - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 13. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14.

Recent form of Dobey has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smith is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dobey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:21. (average 5.8:5.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
20.06.26	Chris Dobey - Tyler Thorpe	6:4 ✺
02.06.26	Chris Dobey - Henry Coates	3:6 ✺
30.05.26	Chris Dobey - Sebastian Bialecki	3:6 ✺
23.05.26	Chris Dobey - Kim Huybrechts	5:6 ✺
09.05.26	Chris Dobey - Kim Huybrechts	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Ross Smith
Darts
20.06.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
17.06.26	Ross Smith - Samuel Price	6:1 ✺
03.06.26	William OConnor - Ross Smith	5:8 ✺
03.06.26	Ross Smith - Cor Dekker	6:3 ✺
30.05.26	Ross Smith - Niko Springer	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.07.25	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	6:3
28.12.23	Ross Smith - Chris Dobey	2:4 best of 5 sets
30.10.22	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	9:11 best of 21 legs
13.10.20	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	4:5 best of 9 legs

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