Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Christian Kist		Paul Hogan

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Christian Kist
53.6%

Paul Hogan
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Kist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Paul Hogan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Kist than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Kist that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paul Hogan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: Paul Hogan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Kist is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hogan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Kist
Darts
01.09.22	Christian Kist - James Hurrell	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
01.09.22	Stephen Burton - Christian Kist	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
31.08.22	Christian Kist - Martin Adams	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
31.08.22	Andreas Harrysson - Christian Kist	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
31.08.22	Christian Kist - James Hurrell	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Paul Hogan
Darts
01.09.22	James Hurrell - Paul Hogan	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
06.08.22	Paul Hogan - Jarred Cole	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
06.08.22	Michael Warburton - Paul Hogan	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
05.08.22	Reece Robinson - Paul Hogan	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
05.08.22	Paul Hogan - Michael Warburton	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Christian Kist - Paul Hogan